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Thread: Nate Silver predicts Seattle and New England in Superbowl

  1. #1
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    Default Nate Silver predicts Seattle and New England in Superbowl

    I don't know how many of you folks follow politics but Nate Silver accurately predicted this years Presidential race (based upon polling) and 4 years ago was closer than anyone else. Apparently, he's refined his technique over the last 4 years. He's a smart guy and an exceptional number cruncher.Check it out: http://espn.go.com/video/clip?id=8831714

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    Elite Member FullMetalSeahawk's Avatar
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    Wow... he predicted the presidential race? I could say something, but I'm not allowed to be political on this board. LOL

    Anyways, numbers can't predict heart or mistakes. I'd take it for what it is... more fodder to get us pumped up.

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    Elite Member SuffolkBlue's Avatar
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    I predicted the presidential election too... I said either Obama or that other bloke would win. I was right!

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    Lookie What He Can Do! Dougula's Avatar
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    BRILLIANT!!!

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    WIN FOREVER! JetCityHawk's Avatar
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    Nope.
    NE has itty bitty receivers that get pummelled in playoffs since 2004.

    NE won't get past Denver.

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    Elite Member LAXile's Avatar
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    Um... Silver is a smart guy and a good number cruncher, but he predicted the election by using opinion polls. Games aren't determined by voting (and given the 'Hawks' traditional popularity nationwide, that's probably a good thing).

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    I had a dream a while back that the Seahawks were down 13-3 at half in the superbowl. Opponent was the Patriots. I woke up really happy, not just because we were in the superbowl but because I knew that we would come back and win it.

    I have to agree with Nate on this one.

    -Nate

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    Elite Member Oly's Avatar
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    Football stats predict games with much less accuracy than polls predict elections. I follow Silver (and teach stats at a college), so I probably give his prediction more credence than most (his prediction of the election--down to each state and all but one senate race--was the best anywhere), but you even notice that he just calls the Hawks the "plurality favorite," which means that while the Hawks have the highest probability of the teams in the NFC, it is still below the field.

    I looked around to see if I could find his statistical model, but couldn't. That would of course help me know what the real odds are.

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    Elite Member squatch's Avatar
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    All I know is I'm sick of NE in the bowl.
    if it was Hawks/Pattys though, it sure would be awesome to send em home empty handed again.

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    Elite Member soulfishhawk's Avatar
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    I predict we have a game we need to win on Sunday.

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